Fabulous Peltoncast No. 8

In the latest Fabulous Peltoncast, your hosts celebrate the start of the NBA season by remembering past Sonics opening nights, Kevin sharing players for Tristan to watch this season, preview the Seahawks hosting the Buccaneers, discuss a pair of season-ending injuries to Seattle wide receivers and recap Kevin paying off a fantasy wager by shotgunning a beer before last Saturday’s Husky game.

DOWNLOAD/STREAM THE FABULOUS PELTONCAST NO. 8 | View on iTunes

Contents

Intro – Sounders in the MLS Cup Playoffs
4:30 – Sonics opening night memories, drafting out Sonics tickets
20:00 – 10 NBA players for Tristan to watch this season
32:00 – Previewing Seahawks-Buccaneers
39:00 – Analyzing season-ending injuries to Sidney Rice and Kasen Williams. Which will have a bigger impact?
46:00 – Tailgating and Kevin shotguns a beer
52:30 – Fantasy plus should the NFL take away touchdowns for taunting penalties? (The answer is no. Don’t be ridiculous.)

This Week’s Links

Vine of Kevin shotgunning (audio may play)
Seattle Times on Clint Dempsey’s slow start
Breaking Madden: 44 Greg Schianos
NFL considering taking TDs away for taunting

Fabulous Peltoncast MNF Edition

It’s another special edition of the Fabulous Peltoncast! With the help of special guest Chris Smith, your hosts break down the Seahawks surviving in St. Louis on Monday Night Football to win 14-9 on the game’s final play. They discuss a rough night for the offensive line, Sidney Rice‘s injury and Percy Harvin‘s upcoming return, quantify just how bad this offensive performance was in Seahawks history and look at the stars on defense who helped save the victory.

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Fabulous Peltoncast No. 7

In this week’s extended episode of The Fabulous Peltoncast, your hosts discuss today’s momentous return of the Rainier R to its rightful place on the Old Rainier Brewery, Kevin‘s visit to the ESPN campus in Bristol, remember Don James after his death, discuss the state of the Washington football program, preview the Seahawks’ Monday Night tilt at St. Louis and look at the results of last week’s bet on their fantasy matchup.

DOWNLOAD/STREAM THE FABULOUS PELTONCAST NO. 7 | View on iTunes

Contents

Intro – The return of the Rainier R and Tristan waxes poetic on Rainier
12:00 – How the ESPN campus is like (or not like) “This is SportsCenter” commercials
19:00 – Remembering Don James as the Dawgfather
33:00 – The state of this year’s Huskies after losing three in a row (listen to just the Husky/James sections)
43:00 – Previewing the Seahawks at St. Louis, who is missing injured QB Sam Bradford, plus Percy Harvin‘s possible return (listen to just the Seahawks section)
56:00 – Tailgating/fantasy football, including the outcome of last week’s fantasy bet, this week’s late-night tailgate and waiver claims

This Week’s Links

Restore the R Details
George Karl a regular at Mecca
– The famous Dawgfather poster
Seth Kolloen on Don James’ philosophy

Fabulous Peltoncast Special Edition

It’s a special, bonus edition of the Fabulous Peltoncast! Your hosts break down the Seahawks’ 34-22 win over the Arizona Cardinals on Thursday Night Football, highlighting the performance of the linebacking core, the defensive line, Kam Chancellor, Brandon Browner — really the whole defense — and looking at the roles played by Sidney Rice and Zach Miller in the passing game.

DOWNLOAD/STREAM THIS PELTONCAST | Listen on iTunes

Fabulous Peltoncast No. 6

First, some big news: we have a logo!Peltoncast logo

After discussing that, in this week’s jam-packed Peltoncast your hosts discuss Kevin’s computer (and its Knicks projection) becoming a news story, talk about Seahawks pessimism and the team’s third-down issues, preview their Thursday night visit to Arizona, relate the feeling of helplessness created by Marcus Mariota, grade the Huskies at the midpoint of their season, study the meaning of their penalty woes (see below), make this week’s NFL’s picks, recap last week’s special Gameday tailgate and finish up by comparing the Kansas City defense to the ’85 Bears in terms of fantasy value.

DOWNLOAD/STREAM THIS WEEK’S PELTONCAST | Find on iTunes

INTRO: Kevin’s famous computer
9:00 Seahawks: are people too worried about a 5-1 team? Plus investigating third-down issues and looking ahead to Thursday’s game at Arizona (listen to the Seahawks section)
24:00 Huskies: recapping Saturday’s loss to Oregon, midseason grades, penalty study (listen to the Huskies section)
42:00 NFL picks
45:00 Tailgating: Getting up early for Gameday and cream cheese takes our tailgate to the next level (listen to the tailgating section)
54:00 Fantasy – A friendly wager on this weekend’s Peltoncast showdown and comparing the Chiefs defense to the ’85 Bears

This Week’s Links

– Explaining SCHOENE’s prediction for the Knicks
New York Post: “Knicks scoff at computer’s 37-win prediction”
Why Kobe ranks so low in #NBArank
– Kevin on the Mix-Minus Podcast
– Jerry Brewer on the Seahawks’ issues and high expectations
– Football Outsiders FEI Ratings

2013 NCAA Penalty Research

In the analysis of the first half of the Huskies’ season, we discuss the role of penalties. Washington has been called for the second-most penalties per game in the nation and leads all FBS teams in penalty yardage.

The research with which I’m familiar on penalties and team success has been conducted in the NFL. In Pro Football Prospectus 2007, Aaron Schatz and Bill Barnwell found that  a small negative correlation (-0.31) between offensive penalties and wins (that is, teams with more penalties perform worse) but little relationship between defensive penalties and wins.

Using data from Sports-Reference.com, I quickly studied the relationship between penalties and yardage — both adjusted per 140 team plays on offense and defense to mitigate the effect of fast-paced offenses like UW’s that lead to more plays per game — and success and found a slightly positive correlation (0.15) between both and Sports-Reference.com’s Simple Rating for each team. Here’s how that looks graphically:

131016_penalties

Note that the three teams in the country that have been penalized most frequently — UCLA (9.1 per 140 plays), Florida (8.7) and UW (8.6) are all top-20 teams. But really, the data from this limited sample show very little relationship between penalties and team success in the NCAA this season.

In case you were curious, despite the reputation for overofficiating (and the Bruins and the Huskies drawing laundry by the load), the Pac-12 doesn’t lead the nation in penalties per 140 plays (including non-conference games). That honor actually belongs to the new American Athletic Conference:

Conference Pen/G   Yd/G   Pen140 Yd140
--------------------------------------
American    6.9    58.8    6.8    58.5
Sun Belt    6.6    54.4    6.5    53.3
Pac-12      6.8    57.8    6.3    53.5
Big 12      6.4    56.4    6.1    53.1
ACC         5.8    47.2    5.8    47.1
SEC         5.6    45.3    5.8    46.5
MAC         5.6    49.5    5.6    49.4
CUSA        5.5    45.8    5.4    44.9
Big Ten     5.5    48.1    5.4    47.2
MWC         5.3    50.0    4.8    45.9

Average     5.9    50.4    5.8    49.1

Blame Arizona State: The Huskies’ opponent on Saturday is at the opposite end of the spectrum, committing 3.4 penalties per 140 plays, the nation’s seventh-lowest average. So if you see a flag during the game, assume it will go against Washington.

Bishop Sankey Chasing Husky History

Through five games of the 2013 season, Washington running back Bishop Sankey is putting together one of the best performances ever by a rusher for the Huskies. On Saturday, Sankey rushed for 125 yards in a loss at Stanford, becoming the first running back to crack the century mark against the Cardinal this season and pushing his season total to 732 yards. That ranks second to Napoleon Kaufman (1994) for the most yards by a Washington running back through five weeks:

Player             Year  Yards   YPG
-------------------------------------
Napoleon Kaufman   1994   924   184.8
BISHOP SANKEY      2013   732   146.4
Greg Lewis         1990   644   128.8
Chris Polk         2011   611   122.2
Napoleon Kaufman   1993   575   115.0
Joe Steele         1978   568   113.6
Hugh McElhenny     1950   557   111.4
Rashaan Shehee     1997   541   108.2
Ron Rowland        1976   526   105.2
Corey Dillon       1996   503   100.6

The single-season record Sankey is chasing (1,695 yards, or 141.3 per game) actually belongs to the last player on this list — Corey Dillon, who rushed for nearly 1,200 yards over the final seven games of his single season in a Husky uniform. Here’s how Sankey’s current pace (purple) compares to Dillon (the top line) and Kaufman (the line highest on the life) and the other top-six single season rushing performances in Washington history.

rushing_leaders_5

As long as Sankey keeps putting up big numbers — and he faces another defense this Saturday, Oregon, that hasn’t allowed a 100-yard rusher — we’ll update his pace on a weekly basis as he chases Husky history.